{"id":839,"date":"2021-11-08T07:05:28","date_gmt":"2021-11-08T07:05:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.innov8fs.co.za\/blog\/?p=839"},"modified":"2026-03-18T11:46:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T11:46:44","slug":"south-africa-is-going-to-miss-the-december-vaccine-target-says-discovery","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.innov8fs.co.za\/blog\/2021\/11\/08\/south-africa-is-going-to-miss-the-december-vaccine-target-says-discovery\/","title":{"rendered":"South Africa is going to miss the December vaccine target, says Discovery"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.innov8fs.co.za\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/DiscoverySandton-e1633004877443.webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-840\" src=\"https:\/\/www.innov8fs.co.za\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/DiscoverySandton-e1633004877443.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"427\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.innov8fs.co.za\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/DiscoverySandton-e1633004877443.webp 640w, https:\/\/www.innov8fs.co.za\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/DiscoverySandton-e1633004877443-300x200.webp 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Medical scheme\u00a0Discovery Health has shared the latest data from its actuarial team\u2019s ongoing analysis of the trajectory of the Covid-19 pandemic and the real-world effectiveness of vaccines.<\/p>\n<p>The group noted that Covid-19 vaccine hesitancy is a key deterrent to vaccine uptake in the county and is fuelled in large part by misinformation, which drives confusion and fear.<\/p>\n<p>South Africa has procured sufficient Covid-19 vaccine doses for around 80% of the population. The National Department of Health has subsequently set targets to vaccinate 70% of the adult population by December 2021.<\/p>\n<p>Based on current\u00a0vaccinated population levels and projections, it is unlikely that South Africa will meet these targets, and will most likely finish the year with<strong>\u00a0slightly more than 50% of the adult population vaccinated<\/strong>, said Discovery.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe demand for vaccination has unfortunately slowed,\u201d said chief executive of Discovery Health, Dr Ryan Noach.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPeople want to understand the true, real-world nature of the protective effects of Covid-19 vaccines. Also, people want to know their risk of experiencing side effects post-vaccination \u2013 and whether they are at higher risk of an adverse event post-vaccination or complications from Covid-19. Our analysis answers these questions.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>Positive results\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>While the high level of hesitancy will impact South Africa\u2019s targets, Discovery said that its results showing the efficacy of the vaccines are incredibly promising.<\/p>\n<p>Discovery\u2019s results show that the Pfizer\/BioNTech vaccine reduced the risk of being hospitalised or dying from Covid-19 in South Africa by more than 90%.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe determined the Pfizer vaccine\u2019s effectiveness in protecting against Covid-19 admission and mortality by analysing 526,516 pathology test results, 14,673 Covid-19 admissions and 3,441 Covid\u201119 deaths. All of these occurred between 17 May 2021 (the start of South Africa\u2019s mass vaccination campaign) and 23 September 2021.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe findings are striking and extremely encouraging. We have shown that following each dose of the two-dose Pfizer vaccine, there is significant protection against both serious Covid-19 illness relative risk of admission to hospital) and death \u2013 of course, most notable for those who are fully vaccinated, 14 days after receiving the second dose.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The key findings show:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Pfizer vaccine is 73% effective in protecting against Covid-19 admission risk 14 days after dose one and\u00a092% effective from 14 days after dose two.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>The Pfizer vaccine is 79% effective in protecting against Covid-19 mortality risk\u00a0from\u00a014 days after dose one\u00a0and\u00a094%\u00a0effective from\u00a014 days after dose two.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>There is a\u00a0stabilisation in vaccine effectiveness protecting against Covid-19 admissions and mortality at\u00a028 days after dose one\u00a0and\u00a0at 14 days after dose two.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>Encouragingly, in considering the effect of sex, specific chronic conditions, and province\/location, we observe little to no variation in vaccine effectiveness in protecting from Covid-19 admission. There is, however, a 5% to 7% decline in vaccine effectiveness in protecting against admission in people over the age of 80, and in individuals who live with three or more chronic conditions.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>Globally, studies are being conducted to establish the durability of the vaccine-mediated immune response, ie how long vaccine effectiveness lasts. To date, Discovery Health\u2019s data shows\u00a0no waning in vaccine effectiveness in protecting against Covid-19 admission and death, in the three-month data interval following the second dose. We will continue to track this and follow up for longer periods.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>Relative to members fully vaccinated with Pfizer-BioNTech, the unvaccinated member population has a five times higher risk of Covid-19 infection; and 20 times the risk of dying from the complications of a Covid-19 infection. Importantly, there have been zero vaccine-related deaths recorded in the Discovery Health administered scheme member population.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Medical scheme\u00a0Discovery Health has shared the latest data from its actuarial team\u2019s ongoing analysis of the trajectory of the Covid-19 pandemic and the real-world effectiveness&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-839","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-innov8ions"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.innov8fs.co.za\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/839","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.innov8fs.co.za\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.innov8fs.co.za\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.innov8fs.co.za\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.innov8fs.co.za\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=839"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.innov8fs.co.za\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/839\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":841,"href":"https:\/\/www.innov8fs.co.za\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/839\/revisions\/841"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.innov8fs.co.za\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=839"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.innov8fs.co.za\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=839"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.innov8fs.co.za\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=839"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}